Strategic overview and analysis of vehicle ownership trends in South Africa with emphasis on light passenger vehicles

Abstract

Paper presented at the 22nd Annual Southern African Transport Conference 14 - 16 July 2003 "National issues affecting the movement of people and goods - strategic approaches", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa. ABSTRACT: The paper summarises the research work undertaken by CSIR Transportek, to evaluate the vehicle ownership trends and use in South Africa, within the context of transportation planning. The paper further highlights attempts made in the study to forecast the car ownership trends in South Africa and some selected urban areas using the logistic curve theory. The analysis of current and projected vehicle ownership and usage is primarily based on the information accessed from the National Traffic Information System (NaTIS) database of the National Department of Transport. Further data was sourced from the National Department of Minerals and Energy Affairs, Statistics South Africa and some metropolitan vehicle registering authorities. The study findings are interpreted in such a way as to provide useful insight into vehicle ownership in South Africa.