Title page for ETD etd-06042011-125759


Document Type Master's Dissertation
Author Nash, Graham
URN etd-06042011-125759
Document Title Social contagion of migration from South Africa
Degree MBA
Department Gordon Institute of Business Science
Supervisor
Advisor Name Title
Dr H Barnard Supervisor
Keywords
  • social contagion
  • migration
  • crime
Date 2010-11-10
Availability unrestricted
Abstract

This research aims to identify to what extent the primary drivers of migration gain influence due to social contagion effects – in other words, to what extent the metaphor of an “epidemic” can be used to describe emigration. The scope of the research is limited to the migration of individuals from South Africa to countries abroad.

A model is developed as a means with which to analyse the premise that social contagion influences migration due to its effect on the underlying driver's thereof.

Results obtained through analysis of secondary data reveal the primary drivers of migration, their trends and their relative influence within the population. Results obtained through simulation revealed that the impact of general crises attributable to a particular determinant of migration is fleeting and that increased rates will subside in time. In contrast, as random isolated events related to the primary drivers of migration increase in frequency and intensity, so too does migration. In addition, drivers disseminated through social contagion discouraging migration from South Africa are found to be capable of negating the influence of the determinants of migration.

Copyright © 2010, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria

Please cite as follows:

Nash, G 2010, Social contagion of migration from South Africa, MBA dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd < http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-06042011-125759/>

F11/469/hj

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