Title page for ETD etd-02232007-095334


Document Type Master's Dissertation
Author Du Plessis, K
URN etd-02232007-095334
Document Title Neural networks for time series analysis
Degree MSc (Mathematical Statistics)
Department Statistics
Supervisor
Advisor Name Title
Dr H Boraine Committee Chair
Dr J E W Holm Committee Co-Chair
Keywords
  • neural networks
  • time-series analysis
  • computer science
Date 2000-04-20
Availability unrestricted
Abstract
The analysis of a time series is a problem well known to statisticians. Neural networks form the basis of an entirely non-linear approach to the analysis of time series. It has been widely used in pattern recognition, classification and prediction. Recently, reviews from a statistical perspective were done by Cheng and Titterington (1994) and Ripley (1993).

One of the most important properties of a neural network is its ability to learn. In neural network methodology, the data set is divided in three different sets, namely a training set, a cross-validation set, and a test set. The training set is used for training the network with the various available learning (optimisation) algorithms. Different algorithms will perform best on different problems. The advantages and limitations of different algorithms in respect of all training problems are discussed.

In this dissertation the method of neural networks and that of ARlMA. models are discussed. The procedures of identification, estimation and evaluation of both models are investigated. Many of the standard techniques in statistics can be compared with neural network methodology, especially in applications with large data sets.

Additional information available on two discs stored at the Africana section, Merensky Library.

2000, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.

Please cite as follows:

Du Plessis, K 2000 Neural networks for time series analysis, MSc dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd < http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-02232007-095334/ >

H230/ag

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